42预测决策理论与方法教学大纲（2020秋）简介英文版.docx

IntroductionofForecastingandDecision-makingTheoryandMethodsCourseName：Forecastinganddecision-makingtheoryandmethodsCourseCode：Credits：3Tota1CreditHours：481ectureHours：48ExperimentHours：0ProgrammingHours：OPracticeHours：0Tota1NumberofExperimenta1(Programming)ProjectsO,Where,Compu1sory(0),Optiona1(0).Schoo1：Schoo1ofBusinessTargetMajor：Industria1EngineeringCourseNature&AimsCourseNature:'"Forecastinganddecision-makingtheoryandmethods'*isamaincourseofmanagementscienceandanimportante1ectivecourseforre1atedmajors.Itisanimportantbasiccoursethata11owsstudentstosystematica11ymastertheconcepts,know1edge,theoriesandbasictechniquesofpredictivedecision-making.Usetheforecastinganddecision-makingmethodsandtechnica1ana1ysistoso1vepractica1prob1emsandtocu1tivatestudents'thinkingandabi1ityinscientificpredictionanddecision-making.Coursepuxse:Throughthestudyofthiscourse,studentscanunderstandtheconcept,functionandmeaningofforecasting,systematica11ymastercommon1yusedforecastingmethodsandtechno1ogies,andbeab1etoapp1ytheforecastingmethods1earnedinconjunctionwithactua1prob1emstoperformforecastingana1ysistoprovidesupportforscientificdecisionmakingStudentsunderstandtheconcepts,proceduresandbasicstepsofdecision-making,systematica11ymastercommondecision-makingmethods,andcanapp1ythe1earneddecision-makingmethodstomakedecisionana1ysis.Inviewofthecharacteristicsoftheforecastinganddecision-makingcourse,payattentiontothecu1tivationofstudents'scientificdecision-makingthinkingintheteachingprocess,emphasizing(hecombinationoftheoretica11earningandapp1iedpractice,focusingonthecombinationofqua1itativeana1ysisandquantitativeana1ysis,forstudents'subsequent1earning,practiceandfuturework1ayagoodfoundationfordeve1opment.TeachingMethodC1assroomteaching:Theteachingofthis1essonismain1ybasedontheteachefsc1assroomteaching.Theteachingprocessusesb1ackboardwritingandmu1timediateaching,strengthensteacher-studentinteraction,andfocusesonheuristicteaching.Seminarteaching:Accordingtothespecificteachingcontent,carryoutappropriateseminaractivities.Teachersprovidediscussionquestions,andstudentsprepareinc1assafterthec1ass,andthenconductc1assdiscussionsinordertoimprovetheteamworkabi1ityofthestudents.Heuristicteaching:teachingimportantquestions,ana1yzingprob1ems,andso1vingprob1ems,subt1ytrainingstudents'correspondingabi1ities:emphasizingtheimportanceofpractica1experienceand1earninginpractice.CourseResourcesTextbooks：1iuSifeng.Jian1irong,MiChuanmin.ManagementForecastandDecisionMethod(ThirdEdition)M.Beijing:SciencePress,2018.Bib1iography：1 .1iuSifeng.ForecastingMethodsandTechno1ogyM.Beijing:HigherEducationPress.2009.2 .XuGuoxiang.Statistica1ForecastingandDecisionMaking(FourthEdition)M.Shanghai:ShanghaiUniversityofFinanceandEconomicsPress,2012.NotesPrerequisites:Fo11ow-upCourses:NoContentsandRequirementsofStudents*Se1f-study:NoBi1ingua1TeachingorNot:NoRequirementsandProportionOfBi1ingua1Teaching:NoDiscip1ineandConsiderationsofPracticeSession:nopracticesessionNotes:NoAuthor：QianWuyongApprovedby：